Mark Rounsevell

Mark Rounsevell is Professor of Land Use Change at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (Institute of Geography & Geoecology) and Head of IFU’s Land Use Change Research Group. His research focuses on the human dimensions of environmental change, including the analysis of socio-ecological systems, land use and land cover change and the impacts of climate change on natural resources. He combines qualitative, social elicitation methods with social simulation models to undertake experiments on human-environment interactions and works with a number of different modelling approaches from local to global scale levels, both in the present and for future environmental change scenarios.

He coordinates the European Commission funded OPERAs project (OPerationalizing Ecosystem Research Applications, and contributes to the LUC4C project (Land-use change: assessing the net climate forcing, and options for climate change mitigation and adaptation, and IMPRESSIONS project (Impacts and risks from high-end scenarios: Strategies for innovative solutions,

He contributes to a number of international research initiatives including being:

  • Co-chair of the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity & Ecosystem Services (IPBES) regional assessment for Europe & Central Asia;
  • Co-chair of the Human Dimensions’ Focal Research Group for the Community Surface Dynamics Modelling System (CSDMS) ( ;
  • Lead author to the 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th Assessment Reports of Working Group II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

Telephone: +49 8821 183 198

Publications Mark Rounsevell

Merkle, M.; Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Seo, B.; Harrison, P. A.; Harmáčková, Z. V.; Pedde, S.; Rounsevell, M.
Downscaling population and urban land use for socio-economic scenarios in the UK
2022. Regional Environmental Change, 22 (3), 106. doi:10.1007/s10113-022-01963-7Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Krause, J.; Harfoot, M.; Hoeks, S.; Anthoni, P.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.; Arneth, A.
How more sophisticated leaf biomass simulations can increase the realism of modelled animal populations
2022. Ecological Modelling, 471, Artkl.Nr.:110061. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110061
Robinson, D. T.; van Vliet, J.; Brown, C.; Dendoncker, N.; Holzhauer, S.; Moseley, D.; Vulturius, G.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Identifying data challenges to representing human decision-making in large-scale land-use models
2022. Mapping and Forecasting Land Use, 115–126, Elsevier. doi:10.1016/B978-0-323-90947-1.00013-2
Henry, R. C.; Arneth, A.; Jung, M.; Rabin, S. S.; Rounsevell, M. D.; Warren, F.; Alexander, P.
Global and regional health and food security under strict conservation scenarios
2022. Nature Sustainability. doi:10.1038/s41893-021-00844-x
Arneth, A.; Olsson, L.; Cowie, A.; Erb, K.-H.; Hurlbert, M.; Kurz, W. A.; Mirzabaev, A.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Restoring Degraded Lands
2021. Annual review of environment and resources, 46, 569–599. doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-012320-054809Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Arneth, A.; Brown, C.; Cheung, W. W. L.; Gimenez, O.; Holman, I.; Leadley, P.; Luján, C.; Mahevas, S.; Maréchaux, I.; Pélissier, R.; Verburg, P. H.; Vieilledent, G.; Wintle, B. A.; Shin, Y.-J.
Identifying uncertainties in scenarios and models of socio-ecological systems in support of decision-making
2021. One Earth, 4 (7), 967–985. doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2021.06.003
Calvin, K.; Cowie, A.; Berndes, G.; Arneth, A.; Cherubini, F.; Portugal-Pereira, J.; Grassi, G.; House, J.; Johnson, F. X.; Popp, A.; Rounsevell, M.; Slade, R.; Smith, P.
Bioenergy for climate change mitigation: Scale and sustainability
2021. GCB Bioenergy, 13 (9), 1346–1371. doi:10.1111/gcbb.12863Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Alexander, P.; Berri, A.; Moran, D.; Reay, D.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
The global environmental paw print of pet food
2020. Global environmental change, 65, Art.-Nr.: 102153. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102153
Smith, P.; Calvin, K.; Nkem, J.; Campbell, D.; Cherubini, F.; Grassi, G.; Korotkov, V.; Le Hoang, A.; Lwasa, S.; McElwee, P.; Nkonya, E.; Saigusa, N.; Soussana, J.-F.; Taboada, M. A.; Manning, F. C.; Nampanzira, D.; Arias-Navarro, C.; Vizzarri, M.; House, J.; Roe, S.; Cowie, A.; Rounsevell, M.; Arneth, A.
Which practices co‐deliver food security, climate change mitigation and adaptation, and combat land degradation and desertification?
2020. Global change biology, 26 (3), 1532–1575. doi:10.1111/gcb.14878Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Harfoot, M.; Harrison, P. A.; Newbold, T.; Gregory, R. D.; Mace, G. M.
A biodiversity target based on species extinctions
2020. Science, 368 (6496), 1193–1195. doi:10.1126/science.aba6592
Rabin, S. S.; Alexander, P.; Henry, R.; Anthoni, P.; Pugh, T. A. M.; Rounsevell, M.; Arneth, A.
Impacts of future agricultural change on ecosystem service indicators
2020. Earth System Dynamics, 11 (2), 357–376. doi:10.5194/esd-11-357-2020Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Vulturius, G.; André, K.; Swartling, Å. G.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Does Climate Change Communication Matter for Individual Engagement with Adaptation? Insights from Forest Owners in Sweden
2020. Environmental management, 65 (20), 190–202. doi:10.1007/s00267-019-01247-7
Vulturius, G.; André, K.; Gerger Swartling, Å.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Successes and shortcomings of climate change communication: insights from a longitudinal analysis of Swedish Forest owners
2020. Journal of environmental planning and management, 63 (7), 1177–1195. doi:10.1080/09640568.2019.1646228
Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Metzger, M. J.; Walz, A.
Operationalising ecosystem services in Europe [Editorial]
2019. Regional environmental change, 19 (8), 2143–2149. doi:10.1007/s10113-019-01560-1
Henry, R. C.; Alexander, P.; Rabin, S.; Anthoni, P.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Arneth, A.
The role of global dietary transitions for safeguarding biodiversity
2019. Global environmental change, 58, Article no: 101956. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101956
Alexander, P.; Reddy, A.; Brown, C.; Henry, R. C.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Transforming agricultural land use through marginal gains in the food system
2019. Global environmental change, 57, 101932. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101932
Fuchs, R.; Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Cossar, F.; Henry, R. C.; Rounsevell, M.
Why the US–China trade war spells disaster for the Amazon
2019. Nature <London>, 567 (7749), 451–454. doi:10.1038/d41586-019-00896-2Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Kehoe, L.; Reis, T.; Virah-Sawmy, M.; Balmford, A.; Kuemmerle, T.; Knohl, A.; Antonelli, A.; Balmford, A.; Hochkirch, A.; Vira, B.; Massa, B.; Peres, C. A.; Ammer, C.; Goerg, C.; Schneider, C.; Curtis, D.; Pena, E. de la; Tello, E.; Sperfeld, E.; Corbera, E.; Morelli, F.; Valladares, F.; Peterson, G.; Hide, G.; Mace, G.; Kallis, G.; Olsson, G. A.; Brumelis, G.; Alexanderson, H.; Haberl, H.; Nuissl, H.; Kreft, H.; Ghazoul, J.; Piotrowski, J. A.; Macdiarmid, J.; Newig, J.; Fischer, J.; Altringham, J.; Gledhill, J.; Nielsen, J. O.; Mueller, J.; Palmeirim, J.; Barlow, J.; Alonso, J. C.; Presa Asencio, J. J.; Steinberger, J. K.; Jones, J. P. G.; Cabral, J. S.; Dengler, J.; Stibral, K.; Erb, K.; Rothhaupt, K.-O.; Wiegand, K.; Cassar, L. F.; Lens, L.; Rosalino, L. M.; Wassen, M. J.; Stenseke, M.; Fischer-Kowalski, M.; Diaz, M.; Rounsevell, M.; Kleunen, M. van; Junginger, M.; Kaltenpoth, M.; Zobel, M.; Weigend, M.; Partel, M.; Schilthuizen, M.; Bastos Araujo, M.; Haklay, M.; Eisenhauer, N.; Selva, N.; Mertz, O.; Meyfroidt, P.; Borges, P. A. V.; Kovar, P.; Smith, P.; Verburg, P.; Pysek, P.; Seppelt, R.; Valentini, R.; Whittaker, R. J.; Henrique Faria, S.; Ulgiati, S.; Loetters, S.; Bjorck, S.; Larson, S. A.; Tscharntke, T.; Domingos, T.; Krueger, T.; Kuemmerle, T.; Pascual, U.; Olsson, U.; Kati, V.; Winiwarter, V.; Reyes-Garcia, V.; Vajda, V.; Sutherland, W. J.; Waroux, Y. le P. de; Buckley, Y.; Rammig, A.; Kasimir, A.; Crona, B.; Sindicic, M.; Persson, M.; Lapka, M.; Di Gregorio, M.; Hahn, T.; Boonstra, W.; Lipsky, Z.; Zucaro, A.; Roeder, A.; Lopez Baucells, A.; Danet, A.; Franco, A.; Nieto Roman, A.; Lehikoinen, A.; Collalti, A.; Keller, A.; Strugariu, A.; Perrigo, A.; Fernandez-Llamazares, A.; Salaseviciene, A.; Hinsley, A.; Santos, A. M. C.; Novoa, A.; Rodrigues, A.; Mascarenhas, A.; Martins, A. D.; Holzschuh, A.; Meseguer, A. S.; Hadjichambis, A.; Mayer, A.; Hacket-Pain, A.; Ringsmuth, A.; Frutos, A. de; Stein, A.; Heikkinen, A.; Smith, A.; Bjoersne, A.-K.; Bagneres, A.-G.; Machordom, A.; Kristin, A.; Ghoddousi, A.; Staal, A.; Martin, A.; Taylor, A.; Borrell, A.; Marescaux, A.; Torres, A.; Helm, A.; Bauer, B.; Smetschka, B.; Rodriguez-Labajos, B.; Peco, B.; Gambin, B.; Celine, B.; Phalan, B.; Cotta, B.; Rugani, B.; Jarcuska, B.; Leroy, B.; Nikolov, B. P.; Milchev, B. P.; Brown, C.; Ritter, C. D.; Gomes, C. B.; Meyer, C.; Munteanu, C.; Penone, C.; Friis, C.; Teplitsky, C.; Roemer, C.; Orland, C.; Voigt, C. C.; Levers, C.; Zang, C.; Bacon, C. D.; Meyer, C.; Wordley, C.; Grilo, C.; Cattaneo, C.; Battisti, C.; Banks-Leite, C.; Zurell, D.; Challender, D.; Mueller, D.; Matenaar, D.; Silvestro, D.; McKay, D. A.; Buckley, D.; Frantz, D.; Gremillet, D.; Mateos, D. M.; Sanchez-Fernandez, D.; Vieites, D.; Ascoli, D.; Arlt, D.; Louis, D.; Zemp, D. C.; Strubbe, D.; Gil, D.; Llusia, D.; Bennett, D. J.; Chobanov, D. P.; Aguilera, E.; Oliveira, E.; Pynegar, E. L.; Granda, E.; Grieco, E.; Conrad, E.; Revilla, E.; Lindkvist, E.; Caprio, E.; Ermgassen, E. zu; Berenguer, E.; Ochu, E.; Polaina, E.; Nuernberger, F.; Esculier, F.; Castro, F. de; Albanito, F.; Langerwisch, F.; Batsleer, F.; Ascensao, F.; Moyano, F. E.; Sayol, F.; Buzzetti, F. M.; Eiro, F.; Volaire, F.; Gollnow, F.; Menzel, F.; Pilo, F.; Moreira, F.; Briens, F.; Essl, F.; Vlahos, G.; Billen, G.; Vacchiano, G.; Wong, G.; Gruychev, G. V.; Fandos, G.; Petter, G.; Sinare, H.; Mumby, H. S.; Cottyn, H.; Seebens, H.; Bjorklund, H.; Schroeder, H.; Lopez Hernandez, H. D.; Rebelo, H.; Chenet, H.; De la Riva, I.; Torre, I.; Aalders, I.; Grass, I.; Chuine, I.; Goepel, J.; Wieringa, J. J.; Engler, J. O.; Pergl, J.; Schnitzler, J.; Vavra, J.; Medvedovic, J.; Cabello, J.; Martin, J.-L.; Mutke, J.; Lewis, J.; Silva, J. F. da; Marull, J.; Carvalho, J.; Carnicer, J.; Enqvist, J.; Simaika, J. P.; Noguera, J. C.; Blanco Moreno, J. M.; Bruna, J.; Garnier, J.; Fargallo, J. A.; Rocha, J. C.; Carrillo, J. D.; Infante-Amate, J.; Traba Diaz, J.; Schleicher, J.; Simon, J.; Noe, J. L.; Gerlach, J.; Eriksson, K. M.; Prince, K.; Ostapowicz, K.; Stajerova, K.; Farrell, K. N.; Snell, K.; Yates, K.; Fleischer, K.; Darras, K.; Schumacher, K.; Orach, K.; Thonicke, K.; Riede, K.; Heller, K.-G.; Wang-Erlandsson, L.; Kehoe, L.; Pereira, L.; Riggi, L.; Florez, L. V.; Emperaire, L.; Durieux, L.; Tatin, L.; Rozylowicz, L.; Latella, L.; Andresen, L. C.; Cahen-Fourot, L.; Agua, L. B. de; Boto, L.; Lassaletta, L.; Amo, L.; Sekerka, L.; Morales, M. B.; Macia, M. J.; Suarez, M. G.; Cabeza, M.; Londo, M.; Pollet, M.; Schwieder, M.; Peters, M. K.; D’Amico, M.; Casazza, M.; Florencio, M.; Felipe-Lucia, M.; Gebara, M. F.; Johansson, M.; Garcia, M. M.; Piquer-Rodriguez, M.; Tengo, M.; Elias, M.; Leve, M.; Conde, M.; Winter, M.; Koster, M.; Mayer, M.; Salek, M.; Schlerf, M.; Sullivan, M.; Baumann, M.; Pichler, M.; Marselle, M.; Oddie, M.; Razanajatovo, M.; Borregaard, M. K.; Theurl, M. C.; Hernandez, M.; Krofel, M.; Kechev, M. O.; Clark, M.; Rands, M.; Antal, M.; Pucetaite, M.; Islar, M.; Truong, M.-X. A.; Vighi, M.; Johanisova, N.; Prat, N.; Escobar, N.; Deguines, N.; Rust, N.; Zafra-Calvo, N.; Maurel, N.; Wagner, N.; Fitton, N.; Ostermann, O.; Panferov, O.; Ange, O.; Canals, O.; Englund, O.; De Smedt, P.; Petridis, P.; Heikkurinen, P.; Weigelt, P.; Henriksson, P. J. G.; Castro, P. D. de; Matos-Maravi, P.; Duran, P.; Aragon, P.; Cardoso, P.; Leitao, P. J.; Hosner, P. A.; Biedermann, P.; Keil, P.; Petrik, P.; Martin, P.; Bocquillon, P.; Renaud, P.-C.; Addison, P.; Antwis, R.; Carmenta, R.; Barrientos, R.; Smith, R.; Rocha, R.; Fuchs, R.; Felix, R.; Kanka, R.; Aguilee, R.; Padro Caminal, R.; Libbrecht, R.; Lorrilliere, R.; Ent, R. J. van der; Henders, S.; Pueyo, S.; Roturier, S.; Jacobs, S.; Lavorel, S.; Leonhardt, S. D.; Fraixedas, S.; Villen-Perez, S.; Cornell, S.; Redlich, S.; De Smedt, S.; Linden, S. van der; Perez-Ortega, S.; Petrovan, S.; Cesarz, S.; Sjoberg, S.; Caillon, S.; Schindler, S.; Trogisch, S.; Taiti, S.; Oppel, S.; Lutter, S.; Garnett, T.; Guedes, T.; Wanger, T. C.; Kastner, T.; Worthington, T.; Daw, T.; Schmoll, T.; McPhearson, T.; Engl, T.; Rutting, T.; Vaclavik, T.; Jucker, T.; Robillard, T.; Krause, T.; Ljubomirov, T.; Aavik, T.; Richardson, V. A.; Masterson, V. A.; Seufert, V.; Cathy, V. G.; Colino Rabanal, V.; Montade, V.; Thieu, V.; Sober, V.; Morin, X.; Mehrabi, Z.; Gonzalez, A. T.; Sanz-Cobena, A.; Christie, A. P.; Romero-Munoz, A.; Dauriach, A.; Queiroz, A. S.; Golland, A.; Evans, A. L.; Cordero, A. M. A.; Dara, A.; Rilovic, A.; Pedersen, A. F.; Csergo, A. M.; Lewerentz, A.; Monserand, A.; Valdecasas, A. G.; Doherty, A.; Semper-Pascual, A.; Bleyhl, B.; Rutschmann, B.; Bongalov, B.; Hankerson, B.; Heylen, B.; Alonso-Alvarez, C.; Comandulli, C.; Frossard, C. M.; Mckeon, C.; Godde, C.; Palm, C.; Singh, C.; Sieger, C. S.; Ohrling, C.; Paitan, C. P.; Cooper, C.; Edler, D.; Roessler, D. C.; Kessner-Beierlein, D.; Garcia del Amo, D.; Lopez Bosch, D.; Gueldner, D.; Noll, D.; Motivans, E.; Canteri, E.; Garnett, E.; Malecore, E.; Brambach, F.; Ruedenauer, F.; Yin, F.; Hurtado, F.; Mempel, F.; Freitas, F. L. M. de; Pendrill, F.; Leijten, F.; Somma, F.; Schug, F.; De Knijf, G.; Peterson, G.; Pe’er, G.; Booth, H.; Rhee, H.; Staude, I.; Gherghel, I.; Vila Traver, J.; Kerner, J.; Hinton, J.; Hortal, J.; Persson, J.; Uddling, J.; Coenen, J.; Geldmann, J.; Geschke, J.; Juergensen, J.; Lobo, J. M.; Skejo, J.; Heinen, J. H.; Schuenzel, J.; Daniel-Ferreira, J.; Christophe Piquet, J.; Murtough, K. L.; Prevel, L.; Hissa, L. B. V.; Segerstad, L. H. af; Willemse, L.; Benavides, L.; Sovova, L.; Figueiredo, L.; Leidinger, L.; Piemontese, L.; Fonte, L. F. M. da; Moreta, L. S.; Bhan, M.; Toledo-Hernandez, M.; Engert, M.; Davoli, M.; Mas Navarro, M.; Voigt, M.; Zirion, M.; Wandl, M.-T.; Kipson, M.; Johnson, M. D.; Lukic, M.; Goula, M.; Jung, M.; Nunes, M. H.; Alvarez, M. R.; Burg, M. P. van den; Guerrero, M. D. P.; Greenfield, M.; Lobmann, M.; Nygren, M.; Guth, M. K.; Koh, N.; Stanek, N.; Roux, N.; Karagouni, N.; Tiralla, N.; Mairota, P.; Savaget, P.; Doehren, P. von; Benyei, P.; Lena, P.; Rufin, P.; Janke, R.; Santagata, R.; Motta, R.; Battiston, R.; Oyanedel, R.; Bernardo-Madrid, R.; Vasconcelos, S.; Henriques, S.; Bager, S. L.; Qin, S.; Ivkovic, S.; Cooke, S.; Ernst, S.; Schmelzer, S.; Silva, S. da; Faberova, T.; Enseroth, T.; De Marzo, T.; Pienkowski, T.; Engel, T.; Boehnert, T.; Swinfield, T.; Kurdikova, V.; Chvatalova, V.; Lopez-Marquez, V.; Arlidge, W.; Zhang, Z.; 604 signatories
Make EU trade with Brazil sustainable
2019. Science, 364 (6438), 341. doi:10.1126/science.aaw8276
Lee, H.; Brown, C.; Seo, B.; Holman, I.; Audsley, E.; Cojocaru, G.; Rounsevell, M.
Implementing land-based mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement in Europe requires food system transformation
2019. Environmental research letters, 14 (10), Article: 104009. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab3744Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Verburg, P. H.; Alexander, P.; Evans, T.; Magliocca, N. R.; Malek, Z.; Rounsevell, M. D.; Vliet, J. van
Beyond land cover change: towards a new generation of land use models
2019. Current opinion in environmental sustainability, 38, 77–85. doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2019.05.002
Brown, C.; Alexander, P.; Arneth, A.; Holman, I.; Rounsevell, M.
Achievement of Paris climate goals unlikely due to time lags in the land system
2019. Nature climate change, 9, 203–208. doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0400-5
Ainscough, J.; Vries Lentsch, A. de; Metzger, M.; Rounsevell, M.; Schröter, M.; Delbaere, B.; Groot, R. de; Staes, J.
Navigating pluralism: Understanding perceptions of the ecosystem services concept
2019. Ecosystem Services, 36, Art. Nr.: 100892. doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.01.004
Seo, B.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Evaluation and Calibration of an Agent Based Land use Model Using Remotely Sensed Land Cover and Primary Productivity Data
2018. IGARSS 2018 - 2018 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, Valencia, E, July 22-27, 2018, 7472–7475, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). doi:10.1109/IGARSS.2018.8518023Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Alexander, P.; Rabin, S.; Anthoni, P.; Henry, R.; Pugh, T. A. M.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Arneth, A.
Adaptation of global land use and management intensity to changes in climate and atmospheric carbon dioxide
2018. Global change biology, 24 (7), 2791–2809. doi:10.1111/gcb.14110Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Li, S.; Juhász-Horváth, L.; Pintér, L.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Harrison, P. A.
Modelling regional cropping patterns under scenarios of climate and socio-economic change in Hungary
2018. The science of the total environment, 622-623, 1611–1620. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.10.038
Robinson, D. T.; Di Vittorio, A.; Alexander, P.; Arneth, A.; Barton, C. M.; Brown, D. G.; Kettner, A.; Lemmen, C.; O’Neill, B. C.; Janssen, M.; Pugh, T. A. M.; Rabin, S. S.; Rounsevell, M.; Syvitski, J. P.; Ullah, I.; Verburg, P. H.
Modelling feedbacks between human and natural processes in the land system
2018. Earth System Dynamics, 9 (2), 895–914. doi:10.5194/esd-9-895-2018Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Henry, R. C.; Engström, K.; Olin, S.; Alexander, P.; Arneth, A.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Food supply and bioenergy production within the global cropland planetary boundary
2018. (P. C. Struik, Ed.) PLoS one, 13 (3), Art. Nr.: e0194695. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0194695Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Dias, C.; Finnigan, J.; Moran, D.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Could consumption of insects, cultured meat or imitation meat reduce global agricultural land use?
2017. Global food security, 15, 22–32. doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2017.04.001Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Blanco, V.; Brown, C.; Holzhauer, S.; Vulturius, G.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
The importance of socio-ecological system dynamics in understanding adaptation to global change in the forestry sector
2017. Journal of environmental management, 196, 36–47. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.02.066
Blanco, V.; Holzhauer, S.; Brown, C.; Lagergren, F.; Vulturius, G.; Lindeskog, M.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
The effect of forest owner decision-making, climatic change and societal demands on land-use change and ecosystem service provision in Sweden
2017. Ecosystem Services, 23, 174–208. doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2016.12.003
Brown, C.; Alexander, P.; Holzhauer, S.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Behavioral models of climate change adaptation and mitigation in land-based sectors
2017. Wiley interdisciplinary reviews / Climate change, 8 (2), Art.Nr. e448. doi:10.1002/wcc.448
Li, S.; Juhász-Horváth, L.; Trájer, A.; Pintér, L.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Harrison, P. A.
Lifestyle, habitat and farmers’ risk of exposure to tick bites in an endemic area of tick-borne diseases in Hungary
2017. Zoonoses and public health, 65 (1), e248-e253. doi:10.1111/zph.12413
Vulturius, G.; André, K.; Swartling, Å. G.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Jönsson, A. M.; Blanco, V.
Correction to: the relative importance of subjective and structural factors for individual adaptation to climate change by forest owners in Sweden
2017. Regional environmental change, 1. doi:10.1007/s10113-017-1233-2
Li, S.; Juhász-Horváth, L.; Harrison, P. A.; Pintér, L.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Relating farmer’s perceptions of climate change risk to adaptation behaviour in Hungary
2017. Journal of environmental management, 185, 21–30. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.10.051
Li, S.; Juhász-Horváth, L.; Pedde, S.; Pintér, L.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Harrison, P. A.
Integrated modelling of urban spatial development under uncertain climate futures : A case study in Hungary
2017. Environmental modelling & software, 96, 251–264. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.07.005
Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Finnigan, J.; Moran, D.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Losses, inefficiencies and waste in the global food system
2017. Agricultural systems, 153, 190–200. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.014Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Finnigan, J.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Human appropriation of land for food : The role of diet
2016. Global environmental change, 41, 88–98. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.09.005
Harrison, P. A.; Dunford, R. W.; Holman, I. P.; Rounsevell, M.
Climate change impact modelling needs to include cross-sectoral interactions
2016. Nature climate change, 6 (9), 885–890. doi:10.1038/nclimate3039
Blanco Gonzalez, V.; Holzhauer, S.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
A model of environmental institutions and their adaptive actions in the Swedish forestry sector
2016. Environmental science & policy 
Engström, K.; Olin, S.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Brogaard, S.; Vuuren, D. P. van; Alexander, P.; Murray-Rust, D.; Arneth, A.
Assessing uncertainties in global cropland futures using a conditional probabilistic modelling framework
2016. Earth System Dynamics, 7 (4), 893–915. doi:10.5194/esd-7-893-2016Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Prestele, R.; Alexander, P.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Arneth, A.; Calvin, K.; Doelman, J.; Eitelberg, D. A.; Engström, K.; Fujimori, S.; Hasegawa, T.; Havlik, P.; Humpenöder, F.; Jain, A. K.; Krisztin, T.; Kyle, P.; Meiyappan, P.; Popp, A.; Sands, R. D.; Schaldach, R.; Schüngel, J.; Stehfest, E.; Tabeau, A.; Van Meijl, H.; Van Vliet, J.; Verburg, P. H.
Hotspots of uncertainty in land-use and land-cover change projections: a global-scale model comparison
2016. Global change biology, 22 (12), 3967–3983. doi:10.1111/gcb.13337Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Alexander, P.; Prestele, R.; Verburg, P. H.; Arneth, A.; Baranzelli, C.; Batista e Silva, F.; Brown, C.; Butler, A.; Calvin, K.; Dendoncker, N.; Doelman, J. C.; Dunford, R.; Engström, K.; Eitelberg, D.; Fujimori, S.; Harrison, P. A.; Hasegawa, T.; Havlik, P.; Holzhauer, S.; Humpenöder, F.; Jacobs-Crisioni, C.; Jain, A. K.; Krisztin, T.; Kyle, P.; Lavalle, C.; Lenton, T.; Liu, J.; Meiyappan, P.; Popp, A.; Powell, T.; Sands, R. D.; Schaldach, R.; Stehfest, E.; Steinbuks, J.; Tabeau, A.; Meijl, H. van; Wise, M. A.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections
2016. Global change biology, 23 (2), 767–781. doi:10.1111/gcb.13447
Engström, K.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Murray-Rust, D.; Hardacre, C.; Alexander, P.; Cui, X.; Palmer, P. I.; Arneth, A.
Applying Occam’s razor to global agricultural land use change
2016. Environmental modelling & software, 75, 212–229. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.10.015Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Brown, C.; Brown, E.; Murray-Rust, D.; Cojocaru, G.; Savin, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Analysing uncertainties in climate change impact assessment across sectors and scenarios
2015. Climatic change, 128 (3-4), 293–306. doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1133-0
Guillem, E. E.; Murray-Rust, D.; Robinson, D.; Barnes, A.; Rounsevell, M.
Modelling farmer decision-making to anticipate tradeoffs between provisioning ecosystem services and biodiversity
2015. Agricultural systems, 137, 12–23. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2015.03.006
Kebede, A. S.; Dunford, R.; Mokrech, M.; Audsley, E.; Harrison, P. A.; Holman, I. P.; Nicholls, R. J.; Rickebusch, S.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Sabaté, S.; Sallaba, F.; Sanchez, A.; Savin, C.; Trnka, M.; Wimmer, F.
Direct and indirect impacts of climate and socio-economic change in Europe: a sensitivity analysis for key land- and water-based sectors
2015. Climatic change, 128 (3-4), 261–277. doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1313-y
Harrison, P. A.; Dunford, R.; Savin, C.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Holman, I. P.; Kebede, A. S.; Stuch, B.
Cross-sectoral impacts of climate change and socio-economic change for multiple, European land- and water-based sectors
2015. Climatic change, 128 (3-4), 279–292. doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1239-4
Jäger, J.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Harrison, P. A.; Omann, I.; Dunford, R.; Kammerlander, M.; Pataki, G.
Assessing policy robustness of climate change adaptation measures across sectors and scenarios
2015. Climatic change, 128 (3-4), 395–407. doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1240-y
Vogiatzakis, I. N.; Stirpe, M. T.; Rickebusch, S.; Metzger, M. J.; Xu, G.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Bommarco, R.; Potts, S. G.
Rapid assessment of historic, current and future habitat quality for biodiversity around UK Natura 2000 sites
2015. Environmental conservation, 42 (01), 31–40. doi:10.1017/S0376892914000137
Yang, A.; Rounsevell, M.; Haggett, C.; Piorr, A.; Wilson, R.
The Use of Spatial Econometrics, Stakeholder Analysis and Qualitative Methodologies in The Evaluation of Rural Development Policy
2015. Journal of environmental assessment policy and management, 17 (02), 1550023. doi:10.1142/S1464333215500234
Yang, A. L.; Rounsevell, M. D.; Haggett, C.; Wilson, R. M.
Recentralisation through regionalisation in the implementation of Rural Development Policy in Scotland
2015. Journal of environmental planning and management, 58 (9), 1666–1689. doi:10.1080/09640568.2014.942726
Alexander, P.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Dislich, C.; Dodson, J. R.; Engström, K.; Moran, D.
Drivers for global agricultural land use change: The nexus of diet, population, yield and bioenergy
2015. Global environmental change, 35, 138–147. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.08.011
Jepsen, M. R.; Kuemmerle, T.; Müller, D.; Erb, K.; Verburg, P. H.; Haberl, H.; Vesterager, J. P.; Andrič, M.; Antrop, M.; Austrheim, G.; Björn, I.; Bondeau, A.; Bürgi, M.; Bryson, J.; Caspar, G.; Cassar, L. F.; Conrad, E.; Chromý, P.; Daugirdas, V.; Van Eetvelde, V.; Elena-Rosselló, R.; Gimmi, U.; Izakovicova, Z.; Jančák, V.; Jansson, U.; Kladnik, D.; Kozak, J.; Konkoly-gyuró, E.; Krausmann, F.; Mander, Ü.; Mcdonagh, J.; Pärn, J.; Niedertscheider, M.; Nikodemus, O.; Ostapowicz, K.; Pérez-soba, M.; Pinto-correia, T.; Ribokas, G.; Rounsevell, M.; Schistou, D.; Schmit, C.; Terkenli, T. S.; Tretvik, A. M.; Trzepacz, P.; Vadineanu, A.; Walz, A.; Zhllima, E.; Reenberg, A.
Transitions in European land-management regimes between 1800 and 2010
2015. Land use policy, 49, 53–64. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.07.003
Dullinger, S.; Dendoncker, N.; Gattringer, A.; Leitner, M.; Mang, T.; Moser, D.; Mücher, C. A.; Plutzar, C.; Rounsevell, M.; Willner, W.; Zimmermann, N. E.; Hülber, K.; Kühn, I.
Modelling the effect of habitat fragmentation on climate-driven migration of European forest understorey plants
2015. Diversity & distributions, 21 (12), 1375–1387. doi:10.1111/ddi.12370
Blanco, V.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Characterising forest owners through their objectives, attributes and management strategies
2015. European journal of forest research, 134 (6), 1027–1041. doi:10.1007/s10342-015-0907-x
Murray-Rust, D.; Brown, C.; Vliet, J. van; Alam, S. J.; Robinson, D. T.; Verburg, P. H.; Rounsevell, M.
Combining agent functional types, capitals and services to model land use dynamics
2014. Environmental modelling & software, 59, 187–201. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.05.019
Fontaine, C. M.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Barbette, A.- christelle
Locating household profiles in a polycentric region for operational agent-based modelling
2014. Environment & planning / B, 41 (1), 163 – 184. doi:10.1068/b37072
Murray-Rust, D.; Robinson, D. T.; Guillem, E.; Karali, E.; Rounsevell, M.
An open framework for agent based modelling of agricultural land use change
2014. Environmental modelling & software, 61, 19–38. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.06.027
Jiang, L.; Cui, X.; Xu, X.; Jiang, Y.; Rounsevell, M.; Murray-Rust, D.; Liu, Y.
A simple global food system model
2014. Agricultural economics, 60 (4), 188–197 
Yang, A. L.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Wilson, R. M.; Haggett, C.
Spatial analysis of agri-environmental policy uptake and expenditure in Scotland
2014. Journal of environmental management, 133, 104–115. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2013.11.038
Alexander, P.; Moran, D.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Hillier, J.; Smith, P.
Cost and potential of carbon abatement from the UK perennial energy crop market
2014. Global change biology / Bioenergy, 6 (2), 156–168. doi:10.1111/gcbb.12148
Nilsson, K.; Rounsevell, M.
Strategies for Sustainable Urban Development and Urban-Rural Linkages
2014. European journal of spatial development, 1–26 
Brown, C.; Murray-Rust, D.; Vliet, J. van; Alam, S. J.; Verburg, P. H.; Rounsevell, M. D.
Experiments in Globalisation, Food Security and Land Use Decision Making
2014. PLoS one, 9 (12), Art.Nr. e114213. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0114213Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Arneth, A.; Alexander, P.; Brown, D. G.; Noblet-Ducoudré, N. de; Ellis, E.; Finnigan, J.; Galvin, K.; Grigg, N.; Harman, I.; Lennox, J.; Magliocca, N.; Parker, D.; O’Neill, B. C.; Verburg, P. H.; Young, O.
Towards decision-based global land use models for improved understanding of the Earth system
2014. Earth System Dynamics, 5 (1), 117–137. doi:10.5194/esd-5-117-2014Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Dave Murray-Rust; Rieser, V.; Robinson, D. T.; Miličič, V.; Rounsevell, M.
Agent-based modelling of land use dynamics and residential quality of life for future scenarios
2013. Environmental modelling & software, 46, 75–89. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.02.011
Alexander, P.; Moran, D.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Smith, P.
Modelling the perennial energy crop market: the role of spatial diffusion
2013. Interface, 10 (88), 1–10. doi:10.1098/rsif.2013.0656
Fisher, J. A.; Patenaude, G.; Meir, P.; Nightingale, A. J.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Williams, M.; Woodhouse, I. H.
Strengthening conceptual foundations: Analysing frameworks for ecosystem services and poverty alleviation research
2013. Global environmental change, 23 (5), 1098–1111. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.04.002Full textFull text of the publication as PDF document
Acosta, L.; Klein, R. J. T.; Reitsma, P.; Metzger, M. J.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Leemans, R.; Schroter, D.
A spatially explicit scenario-driven model of adaptive capacity to global change in Europe
2013. Global environmental change, 23 (5), 1211–1224. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.03.008
Spangenberg, J. H.; Bondeau, A.; Carter, T. R.; Fronzek, S.; Jaeger, J.; Jylha, K.; Kuehn, I.; Omann, I.; Paul, A.; Reginster, I.; Rounsevell, M.; Schweiger, O.; Stocker, A.; Sykes, M. T.; Settele, J.
Scenarios for investigating risks to biodiversity
2012. Global ecology and biogeography, 21 (1), 5–18. doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00620.x
Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Robinson, D. T.; Murray-Rust, D.
From actors to agents in socio-ecological systems models
2012. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London / B, 367 (1586), 259–269. doi:10.1098/rstb.2011.0187
Robinson, D. T.; Murray-Rust, D.; Rieser, V.; Milicic, V.; Rounsevell, M.
Modelling the impacts of land system dynamics on human well-being: Using an agent-based approach to cope with data limitations in Koper, Slovenia
2012. Computers, environment and urban systems, 36 (2), 164–176. doi:10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2011.10.002
Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Metzger, M. J.; Murray-Rust, D.; Pedroli, B.; Pérez-Soba, M.; Erb, K.-H.; Haberl, H.; Gramberger, M.; Busck, A. G.; Kristensen, S.; Reenberg, A.; Kuemmerle, T.; Lavorel, S.; Lindner, M.; Wolfslehner, B.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Popp, A.; Vadineanu, A.; Verburg, P. H.
Challenges for land system science
2012. Land use policy, 29 (4), 899–910. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2012.01.007
Rickebusch, S.; Metzger, M. J.; Xu, G.; Vogiatzakis, I. N.; Potts, S. G.; Stirpe, M. T.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
A qualitative method for the spatial and thematic downscaling of land-use change scenarios
2011. Environmental science & policy, 14 (3), 268–278. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2010.11.003
Murray-Rust, D.; Dendoncker, N.; Dawson, T. P.; Acosta-Michlik, L.; Karali, E.; Guillem, E.; Rounsevell, M.
Conceptualising the analysis of socio-ecological systems through ecosystem services and agent-based modeling
2011. Journal of land use science, 6 (2-3), 83–99. doi:10.1080/1747423X.2011.558600
Metzger, M. J.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
A need for planned adaptation to climate change in the wine industry
2011. Environmental research letters, 6 (3), Art.Nr.: 031001. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/031001
Metzger, M.; Rounsevell, M.; Van den Heiligenberg, H. A. R. M.; Perez-Soba, M.; Soto Hardiman, P.
How Personal Judgment Influences Scenario Development: an Example for Future Rural Development in Europe
2010. Ecology and society, 15 (2), 27 
Rounsevell, M.; Metzger, M.
Developing qualitative scenario storylines for environmental change assessment
2010. Wiley interdisciplinary reviews / Climate change, 1 (4), 606–619. doi:10.1002/wcc.63
Anton, C.; Young, J.; Harrison, P. A.; Musche, M.; Bela, G.; Feld, C. K.; Richard Harrington; Haslett, J. R.; Pataki, G.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Skourtos, M.; Sousa, J. P.; Sykes, M. T.; Tinch, R.; Marie Vandewalle; Watt, A.; Settele, J.
Research needs for incorporating the ecosystem service approach into EU biodiversity conservation policy
2010. Biodiversity and conservation, 19 (10), 2979–2994. doi:10.1007/s10531-010-9853-6
Harrington, R.; Anton, C.; Dawson, T. P.; Bello, F. de; Feld, C. K.; Haslett, J. R.; Kluvankova-Oravska, T.; Kontogianni, A.; Lavorel, S.; Luck, G. W.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Samways, M. J.; Settele, J.; Skourtos, M.; Spangenberg, J. H.; Vandewalle, M.; Zobel, M.; Harrison, P. A.
Ecosystem services and biodiversity conservation: concepts and a glossary
2010. Biodiversity and conservation, 19 (10), 2773–2790. doi:10.1007/s10531-010-9834-9
Dawson, T. P.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Kluvankova-Oravska, T.; Chobotova, V.; Stirling, A.
Dynamic properties of complex adaptive ecosystems: implications for the sustainability of service provision
2010. Biodiversity and conservation, 19 (10), 2843–2853. doi:10.1007/s10531-010-9892-z
Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Dawson, T. P.; Harrison, P. A.
A conceptual framework to assess the effects of environmental change on ecosystem services
2010. Biodiversity and conservation, 19 (10), 2823–2842. doi:10.1007/s10531-010-9838-5
Smith, P.; Gregory, P. J.; Vuuren, D. van; Michael Obersteiner; Havlik, P.; Rounsevell, M.; Woods, J.; Stehfest, E.; Bellarby, J.
Competition for land
2010. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London / B, 365 (1554), 2941–2957. doi:10.1098/rstb.2010.0127
Nicholls, R.; Hanson, S.; Mokrech, M.; Stansby, P.; Chini, N.; Walkden, M.; Dawson, R.; Roche, N.; Hall, J.; Nicholson-Cole, S.; Watkinson, A.; Jude, S.; Lowe, J.; Wolf, J.; Leake, J.; Rounsevell, M.; Fontaine, C.; Acosta-Michlik, L.
The Tyndall Coastal Simulator and Interface
2009. Coastal Engineering 2008 : Proceedings of the 31st International Conference (ICCE), Hamburg, Germany, 31 August - 5 September 2008. Ed.: J. Smith, 4341–4353, World Scientific Publishing 
Rounsevell, M.; Reay, D.
Land use and climate change in the UK
2009. Land use policy, 26 (Supplement 1), S160–S169. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.007
Zhang, L.; Murray-rust, D.; Li, W.; Fontaine, C. M.; Rounsevell, M.; Chen, G.
Integrating VR, GIS and Agent Based Model to Simulate Regional Residential Demand Changes
2009. 2nd IEEE International Conference on Computer Science and Information Technology (ICCSIT) , Beijing, China ; 8 - 11 Aug. 2009. Vol. 4. Hrsg.: W. Li, 388–392, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). doi:10.1109/ICCSIT.2009.5234525
Luck, G. W.; Harrington, R.; Harrison, P. A.; Kremen, C.; Berry, P. M.; Bugter, R.; Dawson, T. P.; Bello, F. de; Diaz, S.; Feld, C. K.; Haslett, J. R.; Hering, D.; Kontogianni, A.; Lavorel, S.; Rounsevell, M.; Samways, M. J.; Sandin, L.; Settele, J.; Sykes, M. T.; den Hove, S. van; Vandewalle, M.; Zobel, M.
Quantifying the Contribution of Organisms to the Provision of Ecosystem Services
2009. BioScience, 59 (3), 223–235. doi:10.1525/bio.2009.59.3.7
Caruso, G.; Peeters, D.; Cavailhès, J.; Rounsevell, M.
Space-time patterns of urban sprawl, a 1D cellular automata and microeconomic approach
2009. Environment and planning / B, 36 (6), 968–988. doi:10.1068/b34009
Bakker, M. M.; Govers, G.; Doorn, A. van; Quetier, F.; Dimitris Chouvardas; Rounsevell, M.
The response of soil erosion and sediment export to land-use change in four areas of Europe: The importance of landscape pattern
2008. Geomorphology, 98 (3-4), 213–226. doi:10.1016/j.geomorph.2006.12.027
Araújo, M. B.; Nogués-Bravoal, D.; Reginster, I.; Rounsevell, M.; Whittaker, R. J.
Exposure of European biodiversity to changes in human-induced pressures
2008. Environmental science & policy, 11 (1), 38–45. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2007.07.002
Holman, I. P.; Rounsevell, M.; Cojacaru, G.; Shackley, S.; McLachlan, C.; Audsley, E.; Berry, P. M.; Harrison, P. A.; Henriques, C.; Mokrech, M.; Nicholls, R. J.; Pearn, K. R.; Richards, J. A.
The concepts and development of a participatory regional integrated assessment tool
2008. Climatic change, 90 (1-2), 5–30. doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9453-6
Paterson, J. S.; Araújo, M. B.; Berry, P. M.; Piper, J. M.; Rounsevell, M.
Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Threat to Biodiversity
2008. Conservation biology, 22 (5), 1352–1355. doi:10.1111/j.1523-1739.2008.01042.x
Dendoncker, N.; Wesemael, B. van; Smith, P.; Lettens, S.; Roelandt, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Assessing scale effects on modelled soil organic carbon contents as a result of land use change in Belgium
2008. Soil use and management, 24 (1), 8–18. doi:10.1111/j.1475-2743.2007.00133.x
Rounsevell, M.; Dendoncker, N.; Schmit, C.
Exploring spatial data uncertainties in land-use change scenarios
2008. International journal of geographical information science, 22 (9), 1013–1030. doi:10.1080/13658810701812836
Wisz, M.; Dendoncker, N.; Madsen, J.; Rounsevell, M.; Jespersen, M.; Kuijken, E.; Courtens, W.; Verscheure, C.; Cottaar, F.
Modelling pink-footed goose (Anser brachyrhynchus) wintering distributions for the year 2050: potential effects of land-use change in Europe
2008. Diversity & distributions, 14 (5), 721–731. doi:10.1111/j.1472-4642.2008.00476.x
Caruso, G.; Rounsevell, M.; Cojocaru, G.
Exploring a spatio-dynamic neighbourhood-based model of residential behaviour in the Brussels periurban area
2007. International journal of geographical information science, 19, 103–123. doi:10.1080/13658810410001713371
Bakker, M.; Govers, G.; Jones, R.; Rounsevell, M.
The effect of soil erosion on Europe’s crop yields
2007. Ecosystems, 10 (7), 1209–1219. doi:10.1007/s10021-007-9090-3
Leterme, B.; Vanclooster, M.; Linden, A. M. A. van der; Tiktak, A.; Rounsevell, M.
The consequences of interpolating or calculating first on the simulation of pesticide leaching at the regional scale
2007. Geoderma, 137 (3-4), 414–425. doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2006.09.004
Bogaert, P.; Rounsevell, M.; Dendoncker, N.
Spatial analysis and modelling of land use distributions in Belgium
2007. Computers, environment and urban systems, 31 (2), 188–205. doi:10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2006.06.004
Roelandt, C.; Rounsevell, M.; Perrin, D.; Wesemael, B. van
Projecting future N2O emissions from agricultural soils in Belgium
2007. Global change biology, 13, 18–27. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01273.x
Leterme, B.; Vanclooster, M.; Linden, T. van der; Tiktak, A.; Rounsevell, M.
Including spatial variability in Monte Carlo simulations of pesticide leaching
2007. Environmental science & technology, 41 (21), 7444–7450. doi:10.1021/es0714639
Ewert, F.; Porter, J. R.; Rounsevell, M.; Long, S. P.; Ainsworth, E. A.; Leakey, A. D. B.; Ort, D. R.; Nösberger, J.; Schimel, D.
Crop models, CO2, and climate change
2007. Science Letters, 315 (5811), 459–460. doi:10.1126/science.315.5811.459c
Caruso, G.; Peeters, D.; Cavailhès, J.; Rounsevell, M.
Spatial configurations in a periurban city. A cellular automata-based microeconomic model
2007. Regional science and urban economics, 37 (5), 542–567. doi:10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2007.01.005
Harrington, R.; Clark, S. J.; Welham, S. J.; Verrier, P. J.; Denholm, C. H.; Hulle, M.; Maurice, D.; Rounsevell, M.; Cocu, N.
Environmental change and the phenology of European aphids
2007. Global change biology, 13 (8), 1550–1564. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01394.x
Zaehle, S.; Bondeau, A.; Carter, T. R.; Cramer, W.; Erhard, M.; Prentice, I. C.; Reginster, I.; Rounsevell, M.; Sitch, S.; Smith, B.; Smith, P. C.; Sykes, M.
Projected Changes in Terrestrial Carbon Storage in Europe under Climate and Land-use Change, 1990–2100
2007. Ecosystems, 10 (3), 380–401. doi:10.1007/s10021-007-9028-9
Audsley, E.; Pearn, K. R.; Simota, C.; Cojocaru, G.; Koutsidou, E.; Rounsevell, M.; Trnka, M.; Alexandrov, V.
What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale agricultural land use, and what not?
2006. Environmental science & policy, 9 (2), 148–162. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2005.11.008
Metzger, M.; Rounsevell, M.; Leemans, R.; Schröter, D.; Acosta-Michlik, L.
The vulnerability of ecosystem services to land use change
2006. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 114 (1), 69–85. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.025
Schmit, C.; Rounsevell, M.; La Jeunesse, I.
The limitations of spatial land use data in environmental analysis
2006. Environmental science & policy, 9 (2), 174–188. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2005.11.006
Abildtrup, J.; Audsley, E.; Fekete-Farkas, M.; Giupponi, C.; Gylling, M.; Rosato, P.; Rounsevell, M.
Socio-economic scenario development for the assessment of climate change impacts on agricultural land use : a pairwise comparison approach
2006. Environmental science & policy, 9 (2), 101–115. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2005.11.002
Fekete-Farkas, M.; Dobo, E.; Singh, A. K.; Rounsevell, M.; Audsley, E.
Socio-economic aspect of climate change impact on food production sources and ecosystems in Europe
2006. Cereal research communications, 34 (1), 781–784. doi:10.1556/CRC.34.2006.1.194
Verburg, P.; Rounsevell, M.; Veldkamp, A.
Scenario based studies of future land use in Europe
2006. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 114 (1), 1–6. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.023
Smith, P.; Wattenbach, M.; Meyer, J.; Lindner, M.; Zaehle, S.; Hiederer, R.; Jones, R. J. A.; Montanarella, L.; Rounsevell, M.; Reginster, I.; Smith, J.; Kankaanpää, S.
Projected changes in mineral soil carbon of European forests, 1990-2100
2006. Canadian journal of soil science, 86, 159–169 
Reginster, I.; Rounsevell, M.
Scenarios of Future Urban Land Use in Europe
2006. Environment & planning / B, 33 (4), 619–636. doi:10.1068/b31079
Schmit, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Are agricultural land use patterns influenced by farmer imitation?
2006. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 115 (1-4), 113–127. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2005.12.019
Bogaert, P.; Rounsevell, M.; Dendoncker, N.
A statistical method to downscale aggregated land use data and scenarios
2006. Journal of land use science, 1 (2), 63–82. doi:10.1080/17474230601058302
Rounsevell, M.; Reginster, I.; Araújo, M. B.; Carter, T. R.; Ewert, F.; House, J. I.; Kankaanpää, S.; Leemans, R.; Metzger, M.; Schmit, C.; Smith, P.; Tuck, G.; Dendoncker, N.
A coherent set of future land use change scenarios for Europe
2006. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 114 (1), 57–68. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.027
Leterme, B.; Vanclooster, M.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Bogaert, P.
Discriminating between point and non-point sources of atrazine contamination of a sandy aquifer
2006. The science of the total environment, 362 (1-3), 124–142. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2005.06.010
Bakker, M. M.; Govers, G.; Ewert, F.; Rounsevell, M.; Jones, R.
Variability in regional wheat yields as a function of climate, soil and economic variables : Assessing the risk of confounding
2005. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 110 (3-4), 195–209. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2005.04.016
Bakker, M. M.; Govers, G.; Kosmas, C.; Vanacker, V.; Oost, K. van; Rounsevell, M.
Soil erosion as a driver of land-use change
2005. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 105 (3), 467–481. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2004.07.009
Cocu, N.; Harrington, R.; Hullé, M.; Rounsevell, M.
Spatial autocorrelation as a tool for identifying the geographical patterns of aphid annual abundance
2005. Agricultural and forest entomology, 7 (1), 31–43. doi:10.1111/j.1461-9555.2005.00245.x
Smith, J.; Smith, P.; Wattenbach, M.; Zaehle, S.; Hiederer, R.; Jones, R. J. A.; Montanarella, L.; Rounsevell, M.; Reginster, I.; Ewert, F.
Projected changes in mineral soil carbon of European croplands and grasslands, 1990-2080
2005. Global change biology, 11 (12), 2141–2152. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.001075.x
Rounsevell, M.; Ewert, F.; Reginster, I.; Leemans, R.; Carter, T. R.
Future scenarios of European agricultural land use. II: projecting changes in cropland and grassland
2005. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 107 (2-3), 117–135. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2004.12.002
Ewert, F.; Rounsevell, M.; Reginster, I.; Metzger, M.; Leemans, R.
Future scenarios of European agricultural land use: I. Estimating changes in crop productivity
2005. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 107 (2-3), 101–116. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2004.12.003
Roelandt, C.; Wesemael, B. van; Rounsevell, M.
Estimating annual N2O emissions from agricultural soils in temperate climates
2005. Global change biology, 11 (10), 1701–1711. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.01025.x
Smith, P.; Andrén, O.; Karlsson, T.; Perälä, P.; Regina, K.; Rounsevell, M.; Wesemael, B. van
Carbon sequestration potential in European croplands has been overestimated
2005. Global change biology, 11 (12), 2153–2163. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.01052.x
Cocu, N.; Conrad, K.; Harrington, R.; Rounsevell, M.
Analysis of spatial patterns at a geographical scale over north-western Europe from point-referenced aphid count data
2005. Bulletin of entomological research, 95 (1), 47–56. doi:10.1079/BER2004338
Settele, J.; Hammen, V.; Hulme, P.; Karlson, U.; Klotz, S.; Kotarac, M.; Kunin, W.; Marion, G.; O’Connor, M.; Petanidou, T.; Peterson, K.; Potts, S.; Pritchard, H.; Pysek, P.; Rounsevell, M.; Spangenberg, J.; Steffan-Dewenter, I.; Sykes, M.; Vighi, M.; Zobel, M.; Kuhn, I.
ALARM: Assessing LArge-scale environmental Risks for biodiversity with tested Methods
2005. Gaia, 14 (1), 69–72. doi:10.14512/gaia.14.1.20
Holman, I. P.; Rounsevell, M.; Shackley, S.; Harrison, P. A.; Nicholls, R. J.; Berry, P. M.; Audsley, E.
A Regional, Multi-sectoral And Integrated Assessment Of The Impacts Of Climate And Socio-economic Change In The Uk Part II. Results
2005. Climatic change, 71 (1-2), 43–73. doi:10.1007/s10584-005-5956-6
Holman, I. P.; Rounsevell, M.; Shackley, S.; Harrison, P. A.; Nicholls, R. J.; Berry, P. M.; Audsley, E.
A Regional, Multi-Sectoral And Integrated Assessment Of The Impacts Of Climate And Socio-Economic Change In The Uk Part I. Methodology
2005. Climatic change, 71 (1-2), 9–41. doi:10.1007/s10584-005-5927-y
Schröter, D.; Cramer, W.; Leemans, R.; Prentice, I. C.; Araujo, M. B.; Arnell, N. W.; Bondeau, A.; Bugmann, H.; Carter, T.; Gracia, C. A.; Vega-Leinert, A. C. de la; Erhard, M.; Ewert, F.; Glendining, M.; House, J. I.; Kankaanpää, S.; Klein, R. J. T.; Lavorel, S.; Lindner, M.; Metzger, M. J.; Meyer, J.; Mitchell, T. D.; Reginster, I.; Rounsevell, M.; Sabate, S.; Sitch, S.; Smith, B.; Smith, J.; Smith, P.; Sykes, M. T.; Thonicke, K.; Thuiller, W.; Tuck, G.; Zaehle, S.; Zierl, B.
Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe
2005. Science, 310 (5752), 1333–1337. doi:10.1126/science.1115233
Freibauer, A.; Rounsevell, M.; Smith, P.; Verhagen, J.
Carbon sequestration in the agricultural soils of Europe
2004. Geoderma, 122 (1), 1–23. doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2004.01.021
Wesemael, B. van; Rounsevell, M.; Roelandt, C.; Lettens, S.; Dendoncker, N.
Belgium’s CO2 mitigation potential under improved cropland management
2004. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 103 (1), 101–116. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2003.10.010
Rounsevell, M.; Annetts, J. E.; Audsley, E.; Mayr, T.; Reginster, I.
Modelling the spatial distribution of agricultural land use at the regional scale
2003. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 95 (2-3), 465–479. doi:10.1016/S0167-8809(02)00217-7
Lambin, E. F.; Rounsevell, M.; Geist, H. J.
Are agricultural land use models able to predict changes in land use intensity?
2000. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 82 (1-3), 321–331. doi:10.1016/S0167-8809(00)00235-8
Wassenaar, T.; Legacherie, P.; Legros, J. P.; Rounsevell, M.
Modelling wheat yield responses to soil and climate variability at the regional scale
1999. Climate research, 11 (3), 209–220 
Rounsevell, M.; Evans, S. P.; Bullock, P.
Climate change and agricultural soils: impacts and adaptation
1999. Climatic change, 43 (4), 683–709. doi:10.1023/A:1005597216804
Rounsevell, M.; Brignall, A. P.; Siddons, P. A.
Potential climate change effects on the distribution of agricultural grassland in England and Wales
1996. Soil use and management, 12 (1), 44–51 
Mayr, T. R.; Rounsevell, M.; Loveland, P. J.; Simota, C.
Agro-climatic Change and European Soil Suitability: regional modelling at monthly time-steps
1996. International agrophysics, 10 (3), 155–170 
Rounsevell, M.; Loveland, P. J.; Mayr, T. R.; Armstrong, A. C.; La Rosa, D. de; Legros, J. P.; Simota, C.; Sobczuk, H.
ACCESS: A spatially distributed soil water and crop development model for climate change research
1996. Aspects of applied biology, 45, 85–92 
Armstrong Brown, S.; Rounsevell, M.; Bullock, P.
Soils and greenhouse gases: management for mitigation
1995. Chemistry & industry, 16 (16), 647–650