Publications

Winkler, K.; Fuchs, R.; Rounsevell, M.; Herold, M.
Six decades of global crop yield increase and cropland expansion from 1960 to 2020
2025. Environmental Research Communications, 7 (5), Art.-Nr.: 055013. doi:10.1088/2515-7620/add3cd  

Zeng, Y.; Raymond, J.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Exploring outcome-driven policymaking on protected areas with an endogenous institutional model
2025. Journal of Cleaner Production, 501, 145262. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.145262 

Zeng, Y.; Raymond, J.; Brown, C.; Byari, M.; Rounsevell, M.
Simulating endogenous institutional behaviour and policy implementation pathways within the land system
2025. Ecological Modelling, 501, Article no: 111032. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2025.111032  

Williams, T. G.; Brown, C.; Diogo, V.; Magliocca, N. R.; Molla, N.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Zagaria, C.; Verburg, P. H.
Power dynamics shape sustainability transitions in a modeled food system
2025. One Earth, 8 (1), Article no: 101158. doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2024.11.012 

Brizuela-Torres, D.; Zinngrebe, Y.; Rounsevell, M.; Brown, C.
Thirty years of drivers and patterns of land-use change across the Amazon biome
2025. Ambio. doi:10.1007/s13280-025-02199-5 

Sevekari, M.; Brown, C.; Díaz-General, E.; Rounsevell, M.
Justice can and should become a part of feasibility assessments for climate mitigation policies
2025. npj Climate Action, 4 (1), 48. doi:10.1038/s44168-025-00255-0  

Whitehorn, P. R.; Rehschuh, R.; Rehschuh, S.; Hayward, S. A. L.; Brown, C.
Climate Change Impacts on Diapause Outcomes in Bombus terrestris Across an Environmental Gradient
2025. Journal of Applied Entomology. doi:10.1111/jen.13432  

Zeng, Y.; Brown, C.; Raymond, J.; Byari, M.; Hotz, R.; Rounsevell, M.
Exploring the opportunities and challenges of using large language models to represent institutional agency in land system modelling
2025. Earth System Dynamics, 16 (2), 423–449. doi:10.5194/esd-16-423-2025  

Lazurko, A.; Kim, H.; Linney, G.; Díaz-General, E. N.; Vaňo, S.; Harmáčková, Z. V.; Rounsevell, M.; Harrison, P. A.
Enriching the European Shared Socio-Economic Pathways with Considerations of Biodiversity and Nature Using a Nexus Approach
2025. doi:10.22541/essoar.174000865.52109874/v1  

Mwanake, R. M.; Wangari, E. G.; Winkler, K.; Gettel, G. M.; Butterbach-Bahl, K.; Kiese, R.
From data to insights: Upscaling riverine GHG fluxes in Germany with machine learning
2025. Science of The Total Environment, 958, 177984. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177984  

Díaz-General, E.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Targeting pathways of just land-based ecosystem service flows for quality of life in a European land system
2024. ESEE-Degrowth 2024 : Science, Technology, and Innovation beyond growth. Ed.: M. Pansera, 1241–1244, Universidade de Vigo. doi:10.35869/ESEE-Degrowth2024 

Saxena, A.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Rounsevell, M.
Advanced photovoltaic technology can reduce land requirements and climate impact on energy generation
2024. Communications Earth & Environment, 5, Article no: 586. doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01754-4  

Kim, H.; Lazurko, A.; Linney, G.; Maskell, L.; Díaz-General, E.; Březovská, R. J.; Keune, H.; Laspidou, C.; Malinen, H.; Oinonen, S.; Raymond, J.; Rounsevell, M.; Vaňo, S.; Venâncio, M. D.; Viesca-Ramirez, A.; Wijesekera, A.; Wilson, K.; Ziliaskopoulos, K.; Harrison, P. A.
Understanding the role of biodiversity in the climate, food, water, energy, transport and health nexus in Europe
2024. Science of The Total Environment, 925, Art.-Nr.: 171692. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171692  

Zeng, Y.; Brown, C.; Byari, M.; Raymond, J.; Schmitt, T.; Rounsevell, M.
InsNet-CRAFTY v1.0: Integrating institutional network dynamics powered by large language models with land use change simulation
2024. Copernicus. doi:10.5194/egusphere-2024-2661  

Huber, R.; Bartkowski, B.; Brown, C.; El Benni, N.; Feil, J.-H.; Grohmann, P.; Joormann, I.; Leonhardt, H.; Mitter, H.; Müller, B.
Farm typologies for understanding farm systems and improving agricultural policy
2024. Agricultural Systems, 213, Art.Nr.: 103800. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2023.103800  

Perkins, O.; Alexander, P.; Arneth, A.; Brown, C.; Millington, J. D. A.; Rounsevell, M.
Toward quantification of the feasible potential of land-based carbon dioxide removal
2023. One Earth, 6 (12), 1638–1651. doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.011  

Saxena, A.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Rounsevell, M.
Modelling the global photovoltaic potential on land and its sensitivity to climate change
2023. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (10), Art.-Nr.: 104017. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acf86f  

Fuchs, S.; Winkler, K.
„Raubbau an Wäldern gefährdet europäische Klimaziele“ – KIT-Studie warnt vor Kahlschlag in Osteuropa und Westrussland. - Campus-Report am 19.09.2023
2023. doi:10.5445/IR/1000162361 

Winkler, K.; Yang, H.; Ganzenmüller, R.; Fuchs, R.; Ceccherini, G.; Duveiller, G.; Grassi, G.; Pongratz, J.; Bastos, A.; Shvidenko, A.; Araza, A.; Herold, M.; Wigneron, J.-P.; Ciais, P.
Changes in land use and management led to a decline in Eastern Europe’s terrestrial carbon sink
2023. Communications Earth & Environment, 4 (1), Art.Nr.: 237. doi:10.1038/s43247-023-00893-4  

Staccione, A.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Rounsevell, M.; Hrast Essenfelder, A.; Seo, B.; Mysiak, J.
Exploring the effects of protected area networks on the European land system
2023. Journal of Environmental Management, 337, 117741. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117741  

Winkler, K.
A data-driven reconstruction of global land use change : Dynamics, drivers and impacts. PhD dissertation
2023, May 2. Wageningen University. doi:10.18174/587224  

Kim, H.; Lazurko, A.; Linney, G.; Maskell, L.; Díaz-General, E.; Jungwirth Březovská, R.; Keune, H.; Laspidou, C.; Malinen, H.; Oinonen, S.; Raymond, J.; Rounsevell, M.; Vaňo, S.; Venâncio, M.; Viesca-Ramirez, A.; Wijesekera, A.; Wilson, K.; Ziliaskopoulos, K.; Harrison, P.
Understanding the role of biodiversity in the climate, food, water, energy, transport and health nexus in Europe
2023. California Digital Library (CDL). doi:10.31223/x5w10t  

Brown, C.; Millington, J.; Rounsevell, M.
Assessing the quality of land system models: moving from valibration to evaludation
2023. Socio-environmental Systems Modelling, 5, Art.Nr.: 18434. doi:10.18174/sesmo.18434  

Brown, C.; Seo, B.; Alexander, P.; Burton, V.; Chacón-Montalván, E. A.; Dunford, R.; Merkle, M.; Harrison, P. A.; Prestele, R.; Robinson, E. L.; Rounsevell, M.
Agent‐Based Modeling of Alternative Futures in the British Land Use System
2022. Earth’s Future, 10 (11), Art.: e2022EF002905. doi:10.1029/2022EF002905  

Winder, S. G.; Lee, H.; Seo, B.; Lia, E. H.; Wood, S. A.
An open‐source image classifier for characterizing recreational activities across landscapes
2022. People and Nature, 4 (5), 1249–1262. doi:10.1002/pan3.10382  

Merkle, M.; Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Seo, B.; Harrison, P. A.; Harmáčková, Z. V.; Pedde, S.; Rounsevell, M.
Downscaling population and urban land use for socio-economic scenarios in the UK
2022. Regional Environmental Change, 22 (3), 106. doi:10.1007/s10113-022-01963-7  

Krause, J.; Harfoot, M.; Hoeks, S.; Anthoni, P.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.; Arneth, A.
How more sophisticated leaf biomass simulations can increase the realism of modelled animal populations
2022. Ecological Modelling, 471, Artkl.Nr.:110061. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110061 

Estoque, R. C.; Dasgupta, R.; Winkler, K.; Avitabile, V.; Johnson, B. A.; Myint, S. W.; Gao, Y.; Ooba, M.; Murayama, Y.; Lasco, R. D.
Spatiotemporal pattern of global forest change over the past 60 years and the forest transition theory
2022. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (8), Art.-Nr.: 084022. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac7df5  

Ganzenmüller, R.; Bultan, S.; Winkler, K.; Fuchs, R.; Zabel, F.; Pongratz, J.
Land-use change emissions based on high-resolution activity data substantially lower than previously estimated
2022. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (6), 064050. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac70d8  

Schucknecht, A.; Seo, B.; Krämer, A.; Asam, S.; Atzberger, C.; Kiese, R.
Estimating dry biomass and plant nitrogen concentration in pre-Alpine grasslands with low-cost UAS-borne multispectral data – a comparison of sensors, algorithms, and predictor sets
2022. Biogeosciences, 19 (10), 2699–2727. doi:10.5194/bg-19-2699-2022  

Lee, H.; Seo, B.; Cord, A. F.; Volk, M.; Lautenbach, S.
Using crowdsourced images to study selected cultural ecosystem services and their relationships with species richness and carbon sequestration
2022. Ecosystem Services, 54, 101411. doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2022.101411 

Amartuvshin, N.; Kim, J.; Cho, N.; Seo, B.; Kang, S.
Local and regional steppe vegetation palatability at grazing hotspot areas in Mongolia
2022. Journal of Ecology and Environment, 46, Art.Nr. 08. doi:10.5141/jee.22.009  

Kim, D.-G.; Bond-Lamberty, B.; Ryu, Y.; Seo, B.; Papale, D.
Ideas and perspectives: Enhancing research and monitoring of carbon pools and land-to-atmosphere greenhouse gases exchange in developing countries
2022. Biogeosciences, 19 (5), 1435–1450. doi:10.5194/bg-19-1435-2022  

Bastos, A.; Ciais, P.; Sitch, S.; Aragão, L. E. O. C.; Chevallier, F.; Fawcett, D.; Rosan, T. M.; Saunois, M.; Günther, D.; Perugini, L.; Robert, C.; Deng, Z.; Pongratz, J.; Ganzenmüller, R.; Fuchs, R.; Winkler, K.; Zaehle, S.; Alvergel, C.
On the use of Earth Observation to support estimates of national greenhouse gas emissions and sinks for the Global stocktake process: lessons learned from ESA-CCI RECCAP2
2022. Carbon Balance and Management, 17 (1), Art.Nr. 15. doi:10.1186/s13021-022-00214-w  

Robinson, D. T.; van Vliet, J.; Brown, C.; Dendoncker, N.; Holzhauer, S.; Moseley, D.; Vulturius, G.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Identifying data challenges to representing human decision-making in large-scale land-use models
2022. Mapping and Forecasting Land Use, 115–126, Elsevier. doi:10.1016/B978-0-323-90947-1.00013-2 

Whitehorn, P. R.; Seo, B.; Comont, R. F.; Rounsevell, M.; Brown, C.
The effects of climate and land use on British bumblebees: Findings from a decade of citizen‐science observations
2022. Journal of Applied Ecology, 59 (7), 1837–1851. doi:10.1111/1365-2664.14191  

Urban, M. C.; Travis, J. M. J.; Zurell, D.; Thompson, P. L.; Synes, N. W.; Scarpa, A.; Peres-Neto, P. R.; Malchow, A.-K.; James, P. M. A.; Gravel, D.; De Meester, L.; Brown, C.; Bocedi, G.; Albert, C. H.; Gonzalez, A.; Hendry, A. P.
Coding for Life: Designing a Platform for Projecting and Protecting Global Biodiversity
2022. BioScience, 72 (1), 91–104. doi:10.1093/biosci/biab099 

Winkler, K.; Fuchs, R.; Rounsevell, M.; Herold, M.
Global land use changes are four times greater than previously estimated
2021. Nature Communications, 12 (1), Artikel-Nr.: 2501. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-22702-2  

Prestele, R.; Brown, C.; Polce, C.; Maes, J.; Whitehorn, P.
Large variability in response to projected climate and land‐use changes among European bumblebee species
2021. Global change biology, 27 (19), 4530–4545. doi:10.1111/gcb.15780  

Brown, C.
Quantitative modelling and computer simulation
2021. The Routledge Handbook of Landscape Ecology. Eds.: Robert A. Francis, James D.A. Millington, George L.W. Perry, Emily S. Minor 

Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Arneth, A.; Brown, C.; Cheung, W. W. L.; Gimenez, O.; Holman, I.; Leadley, P.; Luján, C.; Mahevas, S.; Maréchaux, I.; Pélissier, R.; Verburg, P. H.; Vieilledent, G.; Wintle, B. A.; Shin, Y.-J.
Identifying uncertainties in scenarios and models of socio-ecological systems in support of decision-making
2021. One Earth, 4 (7), 967–985. doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2021.06.003 

He, X.; Brown, C.; Lin, L.
Relative importance of deterministic and stochastic processes for beta diversity of bird assemblages in Yunnan, China
2021. Ecosphere, 12 (6), Art. Nr.: e03545. doi:10.1002/ecs2.3545  

Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
How can social–ecological system models simulate the emergence of social–ecological crises?
2021. People and nature, 3 (1), 88–103. doi:10.1002/pan3.10167  

Brown, C.; Kovács, E.; Herzon, I.; Villamayor-Tomas, S.; Albizua, A.; Galanaki, A.; Grammatikopoulou, I.; McCracken, D.; Olsson, J. A.; Zinngrebe, Y.
Simplistic understandings of farmer motivations could undermine the environmental potential of the common agricultural policy
2021. Land use policy, 101, Art.Nr. 105136. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.105136  

Brown, C.; Holman, I.; Rounsevell, M.
How modelling paradigms affect simulated future land use change
2021. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (1), 211–231. doi:10.5194/esd-12-211-2021  

Fuchs, R.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Europe’s Green Deal offshores environmental damage to other nations
2020. Nature <London>, 586 (7831), 671–673. doi:10.1038/d41586-020-02991-1  

Cho, N.; Kim, E.; Lim, J.-H.; Seo, B.; Kang, S.
Developing drought stress index for monitoring Pinus densiflora diebacks in Korea
2020. Journal of ecology and environment / Ecological Society of Korea, 44 (1), Article no: 15. doi:10.1186/s41610-020-00156-9  

Müller, B.; Hoffmann, F.; Heckelei, T.; Müller, C.; Hertel, T. W.; Polhill, J. G.; Wijk, M. van; Achterbosch, T.; Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Kreuer, D.; Ewert, F.; Ge, J.; Millington, J. D. A.; Seppelt, R.; Verburg, P. H.; Webber, H.
Modelling food security: Bridging the gap between the micro and the macro scale
2020. Global environmental change, 63, 102085. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102085 

Vulturius, G.; André, K.; Swartling, Å. G.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Does Climate Change Communication Matter for Individual Engagement with Adaptation? Insights from Forest Owners in Sweden
2020. Environmental management, 65 (20), 190–202. doi:10.1007/s00267-019-01247-7 

Brown, C.; Scobie, M.
Accountability in the Governance of Global Change
2020. Agency in Earth System Governance. Ed.: M. M. Betsill, 155–167, Cambridge University Press (CUP)  

Scobie, M.; Benney, T. M.; Brown, C.; Widerberg, O. E.
Conceptualizing Agency and Agents in Earth System Governance
2020. Agency in Earth System Governance. Ed.: M. M. Betsill, 25–37, Cambridge University Press (CUP). doi:10.1017/9781108688277.002 

Betsill, M. M.; Benney, T. M.; Gerlak, A. K.; Brown, C.; Chan, S.; Enechi, O.; Mitchell, R. B.; Möller, I.; Patterson, J. J.; Scobie, M.; Hel, S. van der; Widerberg, O. E.
Introduction: Agency in Earth System Governance
2020. Agency in Earth System Governance. Ed.: M. M. Betsill, 3–24, Cambridge University Press (CUP). doi:10.1017/9781108688277 

Vulturius, G.; André, K.; Gerger Swartling, Å.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Successes and shortcomings of climate change communication: insights from a longitudinal analysis of Swedish Forest owners
2020. Journal of environmental planning and management, 63 (7), 1177–1195. doi:10.1080/09640568.2019.1646228 

Kim, J.; Kang, S.; Seo, B.; Narantsetseg, A.; Han, Y.
Estimating fractional green vegetation cover of Mongolian grasslands using digital camera images and MODIS satellite vegetation indices
2020. GIScience and remote sensing, 57 (1), 49–59. doi:10.1080/15481603.2019.1662166 

Alexander, P.; Reddy, A.; Brown, C.; Henry, R. C.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Transforming agricultural land use through marginal gains in the food system
2019. Global environmental change, 57, 101932. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101932 

Fuchs, R.; Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Cossar, F.; Henry, R. C.; Rounsevell, M.
Why the US–China trade war spells disaster for the Amazon
2019. Nature <London>, 567 (7749), 451–454. doi:10.1038/d41586-019-00896-2  

Brown, C.; Seo, B.; Rounsevell, M.
Societal breakdown as an emergent property of large-scale behavioural models of land use change
2019. Earth System Dynamics, 10 (4), 809–845. doi:10.5194/esd-10-809-2019  

Asefa, M.; Wen, H.-D.; Brown, C.; Cao, M.; Xu, K.; Hu, Y.-H.
Ecological drivers of tree assemblage in tropical, subtropical and subalpine forests
2019. Journal of vegetation science, 31 (1), 107–117. doi:10.1111/jvs.12819 

Lee, H.; Brown, C.; Seo, B.; Holman, I.; Audsley, E.; Cojocaru, G.; Rounsevell, M.
Implementing land-based mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement in Europe requires food system transformation
2019. Environmental research letters, 14 (10), Article: 104009. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab3744  

Metzger, M. J.; Dick, J.; Gardner, A.; Bellamy, C.; Blackstock, K.; Brown, C.; Chisholm, R.; Cochrane, P.; Drewitt, J.; Gimona, A.; Hester, A.; Mathieson, S.; Nijnik, M.; McVittie, A.; Petr, M.; Smith, R.; Smith, M.
Knowledge sharing, problem solving and professional development in a Scottish Ecosystem Services Community of Practice
2019. Regional environmental change, 19, 2275–2286. doi:10.1007/s10113-019-01537-0  

Brown, C.; Kovacs, E. K.; Zinngrebe, Y.; Albizua, A.; Galanaki, A.; Grammatikopoulou, I.; Herzon, I.; Marquardt, D.; McCracken, D.; Olsson, J.; Villamayor-Tomas, S.
Understanding farmer uptake of measures that support biodiversity and ecosystem services in the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP)
2019. Centre for Ecology & Hydrology. doi:10.5445/IR/1000096284  

Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Dias, C.; Moran, D.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Sustainable Proteins Production
2019. Proteins: Sustainable Source, Processing and Applications. Ed.: C.M. Galanakis, 1–39, Academic Press. doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-816695-6.00001-5 

Seo, B.; Lee, J.; Lee, K.-D.; Hong, S.; Kang, S.
Improving remotely-sensed crop monitoring by NDVI-based crop phenology estimators for corn and soybeans in Iowa and Illinois, USA
2019. Field crops research, 238, 113–128. doi:10.1016/j.fcr.2019.03.015 

Brown, C.; Alexander, P.; Arneth, A.; Holman, I.; Rounsevell, M.
Achievement of Paris climate goals unlikely due to time lags in the land system
2019. Nature climate change, 9, 203–208. doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0400-5 

Lautenbach, S.; Mupepele, A.-C.; Dormann, C. F.; Lee, H.; Schmidt, S.; Scholte, S. S. K.; Seppelt, R.; Teeffelen, A. J. A. van; Verhagen, W.; Volk, M.
Blind spots in ecosystem services research and challenges for implementation
2019. Regional environmental change, 19, 2151–2172. doi:10.1007/s10113-018-1457-9 

Lee, H.; Lautenbach, S.; Nieto, A. P. G.; Bondeau, A.; Cramer, W.; Geijzendorffer, I. R.
The impact of conservation farming practices on Mediterranean agro-ecosystem services provisioning - meta-analysis
2019. Regional environmental change, 19, 2187–2202. doi:10.1007/s10113-018-1447-y  

Lee, H.; Seo, B.; Koellner, T.; Lautenbach, S.
Mapping cultural ecosystem services 2.0 – Potential and shortcomings from unlabeled crowd sourced images
2019. Ecological indicators, 96 Part 1, 505–515. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.08.035  

Pedde, S.; Kok, K.; Onigkeit, J.; Brown, C.; Holman, I.; Harrison, P. A.
Bridging uncertainty concepts across narratives and simulations in environmental scenarios
2019. Regional environmental change, 19 (3), 655–666. doi:10.1007/s10113-018-1338-2  

Burton, V.; Moseley, D.; Brown, C.; Metzger, M. J.; Bellamy, P.
Reviewing the evidence base for the effects of woodland expansion on biodiversity and ecosystem services in the United Kingdom
2018. Forest ecology and management, 430, 366–379. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2018.08.003 

Synes, N. W.; Brown, C.; Palmer, S. C. F.; Bocedi, G.; Osborne, P. E.; Watts, K.; Franklin, J.; Travis, J. M. J.
Coupled land use and ecological models reveal emergence and feedbacks in socio-ecological systems
2018. Ecography. doi:10.1111/ecog.04039 

Huber, R.; Bakker, M.; Balmann, A.; Berger, T.; Bithell, M.; Brown, C.; Grêt-Regamey, A.; Xiong, H.; Le, Q. B.; Mack, G.; Meyfroidt, P.; Millington, J.; Müller, B.; Polhill, J. G.; Sun, Z.; Seidl, R.; Troost, C.; Finger, R.
Representation of decision-making in European agricultural agent-based models
2018. Agricultural systems, 167, 143–160. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2018.09.007 

Seo, B.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Evaluation and Calibration of an Agent Based Land use Model Using Remotely Sensed Land Cover and Primary Productivity Data
2018. IGARSS 2018 - 2018 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, Valencia, E, July 22-27, 2018, 7472–7475, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). doi:10.1109/IGARSS.2018.8518023  

Muneret, L.; Mitchell, M.; Seufert, V.; Aviron, S.; Djoudi, E. A.; Pétillon, J.; Plantegenest, M.; Thiéry, D.; Rusch, A.
Evidence that organic farming promotes pest control
2018. Nature Sustainability, 1 (7), 361–368. doi:10.1038/s41893-018-0102-4 

Li, S.; Juhász-Horváth, L.; Pintér, L.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Harrison, P. A.
Modelling regional cropping patterns under scenarios of climate and socio-economic change in Hungary
2018. The science of the total environment, 622-623, 1611–1620. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.10.038 

He, X.; Luo, K.; Brown, C.; Lin, L.
A taxonomic, functional, and phylogenetic perspective on the community assembly of passerine birds along an elevational gradient in southwest China
2018. Ecology and evolution, 8 (5), 2712–2720. doi:10.1002/ece3.3910  

Schetke, S.; Lee, H.; Graf, W.; Lautenbach, S.
Application of the ecosystem service concept for climate protection in Germany
2018. Ecosystem Services, 29, 294–305. doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2016.12.017 

Lee, B.; Kim, E.; Lim, J.-H.; Seo, B.; Chung, J.-M.
Detecting vegetation phenology in various forest types using long-term MODIS vegetation indices
2018. 2018 IEEE International Geoscience & Remote Sensing Symposium: Proceedings, 5243–5246, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). doi:10.1109/IGARSS.2018.8518142 

Holzhauer, S.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Modelling dynamic effects of multi-scale institutions on land use change
2018. Regional environmental change. doi:10.1007/s10113-018-1424-5  

Frei, B.; Renard, D.; Mitchell, M. G. E.; Seufert, V.; Chaplin-Kramer, R.; Rhemtulla, J. M.; Bennett, E. M.
Bright spots in agricultural landscapes: Identifying areas exceeding expectations for multifunctionality and biodiversity
2018. Journal of applied ecology, 55 (6), 2731–2743. doi:10.1111/1365-2664.13191 

Brown, C.; Alexander, P.; Rounsevell, M.
Empirical evidence for the diffusion of knowledge in land use change
2018. Journal of land use science, 1–44. doi:10.1080/1747423X.2018.1515995  

Asefa, M.; Brown, C.; Cao, M.; Zhang, G.; Ci, X.; Sha, L.; Li, J.; Lin, L.; Yang, J.
Contrasting effects of space and environment on functional and phylogenetic dissimilarity in a tropical forest
2018. Journal of plant ecology, 12 (2), 314–326. doi:10.1093/jpe/rty026 

Nicholls, E.; Botias, C.; Rotheray, E. L.; Whitehorn, P.; David, A.; Fowler, R.; David, T.; Feltham, H.; Swain, J. L.; Wells, P.; Hill, E. M.; Osborne, J. L.; Goulson, D.
Monitoring neonicotinoid exposure for bees in rural and peri-urban areas of the UK during the transition from pre- to post-moratorium
2018. Environmental science & technology, 52 (16), 9391–9402. doi:10.1021/acs.est.7b06573 

Burton, V.; Metzger, M. J.; Brown, C.; Moseley, D.
Green Gold to Wild Woodlands; understanding stakeholder visions for woodland expansion in Scotland
2018. Landscape ecology, 34, SI (7), 1693–1713. doi:10.1007/s10980-018-0674-4  

Whitehorn, P. R.; Norville, G.; Gilburn, A.; Goulson, D.
Larval exposure to the neonicotinoid imidacloprid impacts adult size in the farmland butterfly Pieris brassicae
2018. PeerJ, 2018 (5), e4772. doi:10.7717/peerj.4772  

Holman, I. P.; Brown, C.; Carter, T. R.; Harrison, P. A.; Rounsevell, M.
Improving the representation of adaptation in climate change impact models
2018. Regional environmental change. doi:10.1007/s10113-018-1328-4  

Shao, X.; Brown, C.; Worthy, S. J.; Liu, L.; Cao, M.; Li, Q.; Lin, L.; Swenson, N. G.
Intra-specific relatedness, spatial clustering and reduced demographic performance in tropical rainforest trees
2018. Ecology letters. doi:10.1111/ele.13086 

Kim, K.; Kim, B.; Eum, J.; Seo, B.; Shope, C.; Peiffer, S.
Impacts of Land Use Change and Summer Monsoon on Nutrients and Sediment Exports from an Agricultural Catchment
2018. Water, 10 (5), 544. doi:10.3390/w10050544 

Henry, R. C.; Engström, K.; Olin, S.; Alexander, P.; Arneth, A.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Food supply and bioenergy production within the global cropland planetary boundary
2018. (P. C. Struik, Ed.) PLoS one, 13 (3), Art. Nr.: e0194695. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0194695  

Bogner, C.; Seo, B.; Rohner, D.; Reineking, B.
Classification of rare land cover types : Distinguishing annual and perennial crops in an agricultural catchment in South Korea
2018. PLoS one, 13 (1), Art.Nr. e0190476. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0190476  

Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Dias, C.; Finnigan, J.; Moran, D.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Could consumption of insects, cultured meat or imitation meat reduce global agricultural land use?
2017. Global food security, 15, 22–32. doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2017.04.001  

Blanco, V.; Brown, C.; Holzhauer, S.; Vulturius, G.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
The importance of socio-ecological system dynamics in understanding adaptation to global change in the forestry sector
2017. Journal of environmental management, 196, 36–47. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.02.066 

Song, X.; James Aaron, H.; Brown, C.; Cao, M.; Yang, J.
Snow damage to the canopy facilitates alien weed invasion in a subtropical montane primary forest in southwestern China
2017. Forest ecology and management, 391, 275–281. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2017.02.031 

Zhang, C.; Yang, J.; Sha, L.; Ci, X.; Li, J.; Cao, M.; Brown, C.; Swenson, N. G.; Lin, L.
Lack of phylogenetic signals within environmental niches of tropical tree species across life stages
2017. Scientific reports, 7, 42007. doi:10.1038/srep42007  

Blanco, V.; Holzhauer, S.; Brown, C.; Lagergren, F.; Vulturius, G.; Lindeskog, M.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
The effect of forest owner decision-making, climatic change and societal demands on land-use change and ecosystem service provision in Sweden
2017. Ecosystem Services, 23, 174–208. doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2016.12.003 

Dunn, M.; Rounsevell, M.; Boberg, F.; Clarke, E.; Christensen, J.; Madsen, M.
The future potential for wine production in Scotland under high-end climate change
2017. Regional environmental change, 1–10. doi:10.1007/s10113-017-1240-3  

Brown, C.; Alexander, P.; Holzhauer, S.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Behavioral models of climate change adaptation and mitigation in land-based sectors
2017. Wiley interdisciplinary reviews / Climate change, 8 (2), Art.Nr. e448. doi:10.1002/wcc.448 

Whitehorn, P. R.; Wallace, C.; Vallejo-Marín, M.
Neonicotinoid pesticide limits improvement in buzz pollination by bumblebees
2017. Scientific reports, 7 (1), Article no 15562. doi:10.1038/s41598-017-14660-x  

Li, S.; Juhász-Horváth, L.; Trájer, A.; Pintér, L.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Harrison, P. A.
Lifestyle, habitat and farmers’ risk of exposure to tick bites in an endemic area of tick-borne diseases in Hungary
2017. Zoonoses and public health, 65 (1), e248-e253. doi:10.1111/zph.12413 

Vulturius, G.; André, K.; Swartling, Å. G.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Blanco, V.
The relative importance of subjective and structural factors for individual adaptation to climate change by forest owners in Sweden
2017. Regional environmental change, 1–10. doi:10.1007/s10113-017-1218-1  

Li, S.; Juhász-Horváth, L.; Harrison, P. A.; Pintér, L.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Relating farmer’s perceptions of climate change risk to adaptation behaviour in Hungary
2017. Journal of environmental management, 185, 21–30. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.10.051 

Dunn, M.; Rounsevell, M. D.; Carlsen, H.; Dzebo, A.; Lourenço, T. C.; Hagg, J.
To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland?
2017. Climatic change, 141 (2), 181–195. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1881-0  

Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Finnigan, J.; Moran, D.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Losses, inefficiencies and waste in the global food system
2017. Agricultural systems, 153, 190–200. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.014  

Cook, N.; Green, J.; Shuker, D. M.; Whitehorn, P. R.
Exposure to the neonicotinoid imidacloprid disrupts sex allocation cue use during superparasitism in the parasitoid wasp – Neonicotinoids and superparasitism
2016. Ecological entomology, 41 (6), 693–697. doi:10.1111/een.12344  

Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Finnigan, J.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Human appropriation of land for food : The role of diet
2016. Global environmental change, 41, 88–98. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.09.005 

Lee, H.; Bogner, C.; Lee, S.; Koellner, T.
Crop selection under price and yield fluctuation : Analysis of agro-economic time series from South Korea
2016. Agricultural systems, 148, 1–11. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2016.06.003  

Seo, B.; Bogner, C.; Koellner, T.; Reineking, B.
Mapping Fractional Land Use and Land Cover in a Monsoon Region: The Effects of Data Processing Options
2016. IEEE journal of selected topics in applied earth observations and remote sensing, 9 (9), 3941–3956. doi:10.1109/JSTARS.2016.2544802 

Lee, H.; Lautenbach, S.
A quantitative review of relationships between ecosystem services
2016. Ecological indicators, 66, 340–351. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.02.004  

Scriven, J. J.; Whitehorn, P. R.; Goulson, D.; Tinsley, M. C.
Niche partitioning in a sympatric cryptic species complex
2016. Ecology and evolution, 6 (5), 1328–1339. doi:10.1002/ece3.1965  

Morgan, T.; Whitehorn, P. R.; Lye, G. C.; Vallejo-Marín, M.
Floral Sonication is an Innate Behaviour in Bumblebees that can be Fine-Tuned with Experience in Manipulating Flowers
2016. Journal of insect behavior, 29 (2), 233–241. doi:10.1007/s10905-016-9553-5  

Martin, E. A.; Seo, B.; Park, C.-R.; Reineking, B.; Steffan-Dewenter, I.
Scale-dependent effects of landscape composition and configuration on natural enemy diversity, crop herbivory, and yields
2016. Ecological applications, 26 (2), 448–462. doi:10.1890/15-0856 

Scriven, J. J.; Whitehorn, P. R.; Goulson, D.; Tinsley, M. C.
Bergmann’s Body Size Rule Operates in Facultatively Endothermic Insects: Evidence from a Complex of Cryptic Bumblebee Species
2016. PLOS ONE, 11 (10), e0163307. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0163307  

Harrison, P. A.; Dunford, R. W.; Holman, I. P.; Rounsevell, M.
Climate change impact modelling needs to include cross-sectoral interactions
2016. Nature climate change, 6 (9), 885–890. doi:10.1038/nclimate3039 

Li, S.; Gilbert, L.; Harrison, P. A.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Modelling the seasonality of Lyme disease risk and the potential impacts of a warming climate within the heterogeneous landscapes of Scotland
2016. Interface, 13 (116), Art. Nr. 20160140. doi:10.1098/rsif.2016.0140 

Brown, C.; Holzhauer, S.; Metzger, M. J.; Paterson, J. S.; Rounsevell, M.
Land managers’ behaviours modulate pathways to visions of future land systems
2016. Regional environmental change, 1–15. doi:10.1007/s10113-016-0999-y  

Engström, K.; Olin, S.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Brogaard, S.; Vuuren, D. P. van; Alexander, P.; Murray-Rust, D.; Arneth, A.
Assessing uncertainties in global cropland futures using a conditional probabilistic modelling framework
2016. Earth System Dynamics, 7 (4), 893–915. doi:10.5194/esd-7-893-2016  

Prestele, R.; Alexander, P.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Arneth, A.; Calvin, K.; Doelman, J.; Eitelberg, D. A.; Engström, K.; Fujimori, S.; Hasegawa, T.; Havlik, P.; Humpenöder, F.; Jain, A. K.; Krisztin, T.; Kyle, P.; Meiyappan, P.; Popp, A.; Sands, R. D.; Schaldach, R.; Schüngel, J.; Stehfest, E.; Tabeau, A.; Van Meijl, H.; Van Vliet, J.; Verburg, P. H.
Hotspots of uncertainty in land-use and land-cover change projections: a global-scale model comparison
2016. Global change biology, 22 (12), 3967–3983. doi:10.1111/gcb.13337  

Engström, K.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.; Murray-Rust, D.; Hardacre, C.; Alexander, P.; Cui, X.; Palmer, P. I.; Arneth, A.
Applying Occam’s razor to global agricultural land use change
2016. Environmental modelling & software, 75, 212–229. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.10.015  

Díaz General, E. N.; Mollema, P. N.; Antonellini, M.
Fracture patterns and fault development in the pelagic limestones of the Monte Conero Anticline (Italy)
2015. Italian Journal of Geosciences, 134 (3), 495–512. doi:10.3301/IJG.2014.33 

Whitehorn, P. R.; Cook, N.; Blackburn, C. V.; Gill, S. M.; Green, J.; Shuker, D. M.
Sex allocation theory reveals a hidden cost of neonicotinoid exposure in a parasitoid wasp
2015. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London / B, 282 (1807), 20150389. doi:10.1098/rspb.2015.0389  

Harter, D. E. V.; Irl, S. D. H.; Seo, B.; Steinbauer, M. J.; Gillespie, R.; Triantis, K. A.; Fernández-Palacios, J.-M.; Beierkuhnlein, C.
Impacts of global climate change on the floras of oceanic islands – Projections, implications and current knowledge
2015. Perspectives in plant ecology, evolution and systematics, 17 (2), 160–183. doi:10.1016/j.ppees.2015.01.003 

Van der Sluijs, J. P.; Amaral-Rogers, V.; Belzunces, L. P.; Bijleveld van Lexmond, M. F. I. J.; Bonmatin, J.-M.; Chagnon, M.; Downs, C. A.; Furlan, L.; Gibbons, D. W.; Giorio, C.; Girolami, V.; Goulson, D.; Kreutzweiser, D. P.; Krupke, C.; Liess, M.; Long, E.; McField, M.; Mineau, P.; Mitchell, E. A. D.; Morrissey, C. A.; Noome, D. A.; Pisa, L.; Settele, J.; Simon-Delso, N.; Stark, J. D.; Tapparo, A.; Van Dyck, H.; Praagh, J. van; Whitehorn, P. R.; Wiemers, M.
Conclusions of the Worldwide Integrated Assessment on the risks of neonicotinoids and fipronil to biodiversity and ecosystem functioning
2015. Environmental science and pollution research, 22 (1), 148–154. doi:10.1007/s11356-014-3229-5  

Simon-Delso, N.; Amaral-Rogers, V.; Belzunces, L. P.; Bonmatin, J. M.; Chagnon, M.; Downs, C.; Furlan, L.; Gibbons, D. W.; Giorio, C.; Girolami, V.; Goulson, D.; Kreutzweiser, D. P.; Krupke, C. H.; Liess, M.; Long, E.; McField, M.; Mineau, P.; Mitchell, E. A. D.; Morrissey, C. A.; Noome, D. A.; Pisa, L.; Settele, J.; Stark, J. D.; Tapparo, A.; Van Dyck, H.; Van Praagh, J.; Van der Sluijs, J. P.; Whitehorn, P. R.; Wiemers, M.
Systemic insecticides (neonicotinoids and fipronil): trends, uses, mode of action and metabolites
2015. Environmental science and pollution research, 22 (1), 5–34. doi:10.1007/s11356-014-3470-y  

Seo, B.
Quantification of land use and land cover in a Monsoon agricultural mosaic from space. PhD dissertation
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Martin, E. A.; Reineking, B.; Seo, B.; Steffan-Dewenter, I.
Pest control of aphids depends on landscape complexity and natural enemy interactions
2015. PeerJ, 3, e1095. doi:10.7717/peerj.1095 

Alexander, P.; Moran, D.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Evaluating potential policies for the UK perennial energy crop market to achieve carbon abatement and deliver a source of low carbon electricity
2015. Biomass and bioenergy. doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.04.025  

Whitehorn, P. R.; Tinsley, M. C.; Brown, M. J. F.; Darvill, B.; Goulson, D.
Genetic diversity and parasite prevalence in two species of bumblebee
2014. Journal of insect conservation, 18 (4), 667–673. doi:10.1007/s10841-014-9673-1 

Shope, C. L.; Maharjan, G. R.; Tenhunen, J.; Seo, B.; Kim, K.; Riley, J.; Arnhold, S.; Koellner, T.; Ok, Y. S.; Peiffer, S.; Kim, B.; Park, J.-H.; Huwe, B.
Using the SWAT model to improve process descriptions and define hydrologic partitioning in South Korea
2014. Hydrology and earth system sciences, 18 (2), 539–557. doi:10.5194/hess-18-539-2014  

Seo, B.; Bogner, C.; Poppenborg, P.; Martin, E.; Hoffmeister, M.; Jun, M.; Koellner, T.; Reineking, B.; Shope, C. L.; Tenhunen, J.
Deriving a per-field land use and land cover map in an agricultural mosaic catchment
2014. Earth system science data, 6 (2), 339–352. doi:10.5194/essd-6-339-2014  

Karali, E.; Brunner, B.; Doherty, R.; Hersperger, A.; Rounsevell, M.
Identifying the Factors That Influence Farmer Participation in Environmental Management Practices in Switzerland
2014. Human ecology, 42 (6), 951–963. doi:10.1007/s10745-014-9701-5 

K’Otuto, G. O.; Otieno, D. O.; Seo, B.; Ogindo, H. O.; Onyango, J. C.
Carbon dioxide exchange and biomass productivity of the herbaceous layer of a managed tropical humid savanna ecosystem in western Kenya
2013. Journal of plant ecology, 6 (4), 286–297. doi:10.1093/jpe/rts038 

Martin, E. A.; Reineking, B.; Seo, B.; Steffan-Dewenter, I.
Natural enemy interactions constrain pest control in complex agricultural landscapes
2013. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110 (14), 5534–5539. doi:10.1073/pnas.1215725110 

Whitehorn, P. R.; Tinsley, M. C.; Brown, M. J. F.; Goulson, D.
Investigating the impact of deploying commercial Bombus terrestris for crop pollination on pathogen dynamics in wild bumble bees
2013. Journal of apicultural research & bee world, 52 (3), 149–157. doi:10.3896/IBRA.1.52.3.06 

Thanh Nguyen, T.; Hoang, V.-N.; Seo, B.
Cost and environmental efficiency of rice farms in South Korea
2012. Agricultural economics, 43 (4), 369–378. doi:10.1111/j.1574-0862.2012.00589.x 

Whitehorn, P. R.; O’Connor, S.; Wackers, F. L.; Goulson, D.
Neonicotinoid Pesticide Reduces Bumble Bee Colony Growth and Queen Production
2012. Science, 336 (6079), 351–352. doi:10.1126/science.1215025 

Whitehorn, P. R.; Tinsley, M. C.; Brown, M. J. F.; Darvill, B.; Goulson, D.
Genetic diversity, parasite prevalence and immunity in wild bumblebees
2011. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London / B, 278 (1709), 1195–1202. doi:10.1098/rspb.2010.1550 

Whitehorn, P. R.; Tinsley, M. C.; Brown, M. J. F.; Darvill, B.; Goulson, D.
Impacts of inbreeding on bumblebee colony fitness under field conditions
2009. BMC evolutionary biology, 9 (1), 152. doi:10.1186/1471-2148-9-152  

Shuker, D. M.; Reece, S. E.; Whitehorn, P. R.; West, S. A.
Sib-mating does not lead to facultative sex ratio adjustment in the parasitoid wasp, Nasonia vitripennis
2004. Evolutionary ecology research, 6 (3), 473–480